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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,614,900
The crowdHeld 8% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 648 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 December 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 65 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 647 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (31, 46, 50) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 27 August 2021 — its closest relative in 647 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (6 December 2022): 27 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 162 — the 86th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →8 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang9 — 6,125 winners, 17% fewer than the 7.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €343,883 |
| rang3 | 1 | €26,790 |
| rang4 | 9 | €1,430 |
| rang5 | 127 | €158 |
| rang6 | 324 | €68.50 |
| rang7 | 285 | €47.80 |
| rang8 | 4,839 | €15.90 |
| rang9 | 6,125 | €13.00 |
| rang10 | 13,828 | €10.90 |
| rang11 | 27,739 | €7.00 |
| rang12 | 101,267 | €6.00 |
| rang13 | 219,712 | €4.30 |