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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£56,748,589
The crowdHeld 11% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 643 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 November 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 52% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 64 of each
Times drawn before — chance expected 107 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 642 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (21, 22, 29) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 3 December 2021 — its closest relative in 642 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 November 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 11 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 138 — the 62th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →22 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 196,079 winners, 11% more than the 176k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €280,001 |
| rang3 | 1 | €43,627 |
| rang4 | 7 | €2,038 |
| rang5 | 110 | €149 |
| rang6 | 261 | €65.30 |
| rang7 | 226 | €47.60 |
| rang8 | 3,890 | €14.60 |
| rang9 | 5,513 | €11.60 |
| rang10 | 12,594 | €9.50 |
| rang11 | 20,524 | €6.90 |
| rang12 | 85,855 | €5.30 |
| rang13 | 196,079 | €3.80 |