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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,856,300
The crowdHeld 3% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 639 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 November 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 37% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 64 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 638 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 32, 33) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 22 October 2019 — its closest relative in 638 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (4 November 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 123 — the 44th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 32–33. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →33 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang9 — 4,312 winners, 19% fewer than the 5.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €173,618 |
| rang3 | 0 | €40,577 |
| rang4 | 2 | €2,528 |
| rang5 | 76 | €155 |
| rang6 | 205 | €75.40 |
| rang7 | 167 | €46.80 |
| rang8 | 3,416 | €15.60 |
| rang9 | 4,312 | €12.90 |
| rang10 | 9,857 | €10.40 |
| rang11 | 20,011 | €7.20 |
| rang12 | 71,526 | €5.70 |
| rang13 | 165,561 | €4.00 |