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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£33,625,791
The crowdHeld 19% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 571 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 March 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 10% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 57 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 570 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 19, 26) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 1 October 2021 — its closest relative in 570 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (11 March 2022): 12, 19 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 2 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 60 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →2 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang8 — 7,213 winners, 28% more than the 5.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang3 | 4 | €79,900 |
| rang4 | 24 | €434 |
| rang5 | 288 | €66.10 |
| rang6 | 679 | €27.10 |
| rang7 | 474 | €27.70 |
| rang8 | 7,213 | €8.30 |
| rang9 | 9,387 | €7.70 |
| rang10 | 17,349 | €7.40 |
| rang11 | 29,691 | €4.60 |
| rang12 | 102,448 | €4.60 |
| rang13 | 205,463 | €3.60 |