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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£14,518,000
The crowdHeld 29% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 544 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 10 December 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 54 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 543 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (33, 38, 42) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 24 November 2020 — its closest relative in 543 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 December 2021): 38 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 145 — the 70th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →11 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈7.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 388 winners, 31% fewer than the 562 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €702,914 |
| rang3 | 2 | €18,254 |
| rang4 | 11 | €1,003 |
| rang5 | 183 | €110 |
| rang6 | 531 | €41.20 |
| rang7 | 388 | €37.40 |
| rang8 | 7,916 | €10.20 |
| rang9 | 8,054 | €10.70 |
| rang10 | 17,411 | €9.20 |
| rang11 | 41,368 | €4.90 |
| rang12 | 117,705 | €5.40 |
| rang13 | 253,415 | €4.00 |