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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£27,117,635
The crowdHeld 24% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 474 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 April 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 45% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 47 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 473 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 35, 44) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 10 January 2017 — its closest relative in 473 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (6 April 2021): 2 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 8 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 121 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →8 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 233,128 winners, 24% more than the 188k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €247,364 |
| rang3 | 7 | €13,341 |
| rang4 | 6 | €2,078 |
| rang5 | 165 | €128 |
| rang6 | 324 | €69.20 |
| rang7 | 345 | €44.40 |
| rang8 | 4,110 | €17.20 |
| rang9 | 6,935 | €11.80 |
| rang10 | 15,908 | €9.90 |
| rang11 | 21,885 | €8.10 |
| rang12 | 100,067 | €5.90 |
| rang13 | 233,128 | €4.20 |