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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£98,680,896
The crowdHeld 19% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 470 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 26 March 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 47 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 469 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 37, 50) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 6 November 2020 — its closest relative in 469 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (23 March 2021): 49 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 158 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 49–50. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →50 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 10% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈9.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 488 winners, 29% fewer than the 686 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 2 | €202,738 |
| rang3 | 2 | €11,282 |
| rang4 | 13 | €1,342 |
| rang5 | 216 | €134 |
| rang6 | 548 | €55.30 |
| rang7 | 488 | €46.70 |
| rang8 | 8,988 | €12.40 |
| rang9 | 10,644 | €11.90 |
| rang10 | 22,682 | €10.40 |
| rang11 | 50,479 | €5.60 |
| rang12 | 165,613 | €5.50 |
| rang13 | 348,445 | €4.20 |