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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£27,189,645
The crowdHeld 6% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 454 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 66% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 45 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 453 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 5, 42) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 4 August 2020 — its closest relative in 453 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (26 January 2021): 5 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 111 — the 30th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →36 had not appeared for 33 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 14,888 winners, 14% fewer than the 17k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €238,052 |
| rang3 | 2 | €41,728 |
| rang4 | 5 | €1,733 |
| rang5 | 133 | €144 |
| rang6 | 347 | €59.40 |
| rang7 | 282 | €45.90 |
| rang8 | 5,645 | €14.00 |
| rang9 | 7,147 | €11.70 |
| rang10 | 14,888 | €9.80 |
| rang11 | 29,030 | €6.70 |
| rang12 | 111,122 | €5.50 |
| rang13 | 233,780 | €4.00 |