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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£28,785,119
The crowdHeld 16% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 442 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 December 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 16 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 1% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 44 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 441 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 17, 21) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 13 February 2018 — its closest relative in 441 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 December 2020): 13, 21 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 56 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →3 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang9 — 14,939 winners, 79% more than the 8.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 2 | €192,267 |
| rang3 | 1 | €17,974 |
| rang4 | 22 | €700 |
| rang5 | 435 | €61.90 |
| rang6 | 575 | €43.60 |
| rang7 | 667 | €27.30 |
| rang8 | 7,011 | €12.30 |
| rang9 | 14,939 | €6.80 |
| rang10 | 26,297 | €7.10 |
| rang11 | 31,474 | €6.70 |
| rang12 | 178,955 | €4.00 |
| rang13 | 314,233 | €3.50 |