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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£183,120,000
The crowdHeld 42% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 440 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 December 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 78% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 44 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 439 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (6, 9, 13, 41) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 27 September 2016 — its closest relative in 439 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 4.6% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 December 2020): 24 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 12 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 93 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →9 had not appeared for 27 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 1,373 winners, 63% more than the 843 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 1 | €200,000,000 |
| rang2 | 3 | €2,364,169 |
| rang3 | 5 | €22,820 |
| rang4 | 20 | €1,655 |
| rang5 | 574 | €98.00 |
| rang6 | 957 | €62.50 |
| rang7 | 1,373 | €31.30 |
| rang8 | 12,455 | €16.20 |
| rang9 | 24,341 | €10.00 |
| rang10 | 58,141 | €7.80 |
| rang11 | 62,053 | €8.00 |
| rang12 | 314,250 | €5.30 |
| rang13 | 753,910 | €3.60 |