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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£180,800,000
The crowdHeld 27% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 438 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 December 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 32% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 44 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 437 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (27, 34, 38) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 15 February 2019 — its closest relative in 437 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 88% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 December 2020): 14, 20 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 133 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →27 had not appeared for 38 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang7 — 1,292 winners, 33% more than the 969 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 4 | €1,385,679 |
| rang3 | 8 | €15,426 |
| rang4 | 20 | €1,644 |
| rang5 | 499 | €132 |
| rang6 | 917 | €71.00 |
| rang7 | 1,292 | €36.30 |
| rang8 | 13,455 | €16.70 |
| rang9 | 21,149 | €12.30 |
| rang10 | 56,440 | €8.60 |
| rang11 | 71,306 | €7.90 |
| rang12 | 300,626 | €6.10 |
| rang13 | 778,710 | €3.80 |