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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£118,729,000
The crowdHeld 19% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 418 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 September 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 42 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 417 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (23, 37, 45) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 13 October 2017 — its closest relative in 417 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (22 September 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 1 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 158 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →23 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 412,900 winners, 19% fewer than the 508k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €130,000,000 |
| rang2 | 0 | €247,048 |
| rang3 | 5 | €11,548 |
| rang4 | 16 | €1,153 |
| rang5 | 374 | €104 |
| rang6 | 812 | €55.30 |
| rang7 | 801 | €33.30 |
| rang8 | 10,810 | €13.80 |
| rang9 | 14,416 | €10.70 |
| rang10 | 30,469 | €8.90 |
| rang11 | 59,230 | €6.50 |
| rang12 | 195,280 | €5.60 |
| rang13 | 412,900 | €4.00 |