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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£61,732,489
The crowdHeld 16% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 416 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 September 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 42 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 415 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 10, 19) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 10 December 2019 — its closest relative in 415 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 September 2020): 25 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 101 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →19 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈6.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 254,921 winners, 16% fewer than the 305k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 0 | €166,116 |
| rang3 | 2 | €32,353 |
| rang4 | 11 | €991 |
| rang5 | 266 | €96.10 |
| rang6 | 581 | €48.50 |
| rang7 | 482 | €33.90 |
| rang8 | 7,268 | €12.40 |
| rang9 | 9,713 | €9.80 |
| rang10 | 19,803 | €8.40 |
| rang11 | 35,586 | €6.20 |
| rang12 | 128,995 | €5.00 |
| rang13 | 254,921 | €3.80 |