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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£37,525,275
The crowdHeld 43% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 414 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 September 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 19 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 41 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 413 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (38, 43, 45) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 6 March 2020 — its closest relative in 413 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 September 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 9, 12 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 202 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →45 had not appeared for 26 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.3× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 26% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.9M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang13 — 191,835 winners, 43% more than the 134k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €0.00 |
| rang2 | 1 | €352,375 |
| rang3 | 0 | €20,589 |
| rang4 | 7 | €2,052 |
| rang5 | 118 | €163 |
| rang6 | 207 | €94.60 |
| rang7 | 300 | €49.20 |
| rang8 | 2,921 | €21.60 |
| rang9 | 4,868 | €15.10 |
| rang10 | 13,238 | €11.50 |
| rang11 | 15,678 | €10.00 |
| rang12 | 72,176 | €7.10 |
| rang13 | 191,835 | €4.60 |