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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£58,366,488
The crowdHeld 35% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/12 · since Sep 2016draw 372 of 1,049 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 1 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 April 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 37 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 371 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (16, 28, 45) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 17 May 2019 — its closest relative in 371 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 April 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 11 repeated (32% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 158 — the 83th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →28 had not appeared for 49 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈2.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: rang10 — 12,204 winners, 37% more than the 8.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| rang1 | 0 | €67,188,313 |
| rang2 | 0 | €248,683 |
| rang3 | 1 | €16,606 |
| rang4 | 5 | €1,448 |
| rang5 | 97 | €157 |
| rang6 | 169 | €83.30 |
| rang7 | 329 | €35.80 |
| rang8 | 2,625 | €18.70 |
| rang9 | 4,451 | €13.70 |
| rang10 | 12,204 | €9.50 |
| rang11 | 14,870 | €8.50 |
| rang12 | 61,970 | €6.70 |
| rang13 | 171,474 | €4.10 |