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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£12,612,000
The crowdHeld 17% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 547 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 546 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 August 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 546 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 38, 46) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 19 January 2016 — its closest relative in 546 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 July 2016): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 2 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 121 — the 41th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →46 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈21M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 53,240 winners, 19% fewer than the 66k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 778,310 | £2.90 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 408,629 | £5.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 136,918 | £5.90 |
| Match 3 | 53,240 | £8.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 25,896 | £11.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 28,925 | £9.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,912 | £32.90 |
| Match 4 | 1,229 | £71.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 705 | £125 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 32 | £3,153 |
| Match 5 | 5 | £40,356 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £12,612,000 |