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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£79,365,304
The crowdHeld 17% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 492 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 491 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 January 2016 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 79 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 100% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 49 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 491 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (10, 30) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 12 January 2016 — its closest relative in 491 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 January 2016): 30 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 126 — the 48th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →47 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈39M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 75,976 winners, 29% more than the 59k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,986,302 | £2.90 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,067,097 | £5.30 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 246,945 | £8.40 |
| Match 3 | 142,206 | £8.30 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 48,970 | £15.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 75,976 | £9.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3,369 | £47.80 |
| Match 4 | 3,303 | £68.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,715 | £132 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 85 | £3,033 |
| Match 5 | 13 | £39,661 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 8 | £193,349 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £79,365,304 |