Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£31,893,764
The crowdHeld 7% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 478 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 477 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 December 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 63% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 48 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 477 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 27, 39) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 3 November 2015 — its closest relative in 477 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 90% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 December 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 109 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →8 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈35M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 3,634 winners, 50% more than the 2.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,627,033 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 839,364 | £5.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 222,423 | £7.50 |
| Match 3 | 127,874 | £7.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 46,973 | £12.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 63,112 | £9.00 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3,366 | £38.60 |
| Match 4 | 3,634 | £50.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,616 | £113 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 97 | £2,143 |
| Match 5 | 12 | £34,651 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 5 | £249,490 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £31,893,764 |