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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£22,011,012
The crowdHeld 22% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 466 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 465 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 October 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 74 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 98% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 47 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 465 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (30, 32, 39) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 27 March 2015 — its closest relative in 465 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 89% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (20 October 2015): 30 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 8 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 133 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →25 had not appeared for 50 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 7% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈37M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 862 winners, 34% fewer than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,277,633 | £3.10 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 644,261 | £6.10 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 238,767 | £6.00 |
| Match 3 | 86,704 | £9.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 43,635 | £11.80 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 43,039 | £11.40 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3,017 | £37.10 |
| Match 4 | 1,839 | £85.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 862 | £182 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 72 | £2,488 |
| Match 5 | 7 | £51,189 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £358,321 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £22,011,012 |