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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£11,032,500
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 454 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 453 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 September 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 79% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 45 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 453 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (10, 19) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 18 August 2015 — its closest relative in 453 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 September 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 1 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 126 — the 48th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 18–19. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →10 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈30M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls — 2,889 winners, 12% more than the 2.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,316,622 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 639,525 | £5.80 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 193,953 | £7.10 |
| Match 3 | 89,840 | £8.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 40,214 | £12.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 44,496 | £10.40 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,889 | £36.60 |
| Match 4 | 1,923 | £77.10 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 973 | £152 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 71 | £2,388 |
| Match 5 | 4 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 7 | £145,322 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £11,032,500 |