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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£22,844,230
The crowdHeld 28% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 412 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 411 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 April 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 77% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 41 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 411 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 30, 39) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 27 March 2015 — its closest relative in 411 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 April 2015): 24, 34 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 129 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →2 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈23M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,301,618 winners, 28% more than the 1.0M an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,301,618 | £3.20 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 586,946 | £7.10 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 148,474 | £10.30 |
| Match 3 | 81,808 | £10.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 27,014 | £20.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 37,737 | £13.80 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,741 | £68.00 |
| Match 4 | 1,613 | £103 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 741 | £224 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 35 | £5,415 |
| Match 5 | 3 | £126,344 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £379,033 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £22,844,230 |