Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£11,247,000
The crowdHeld 4% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 388 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 387 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 January 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 39 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 387 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 29, 45) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 10 October 2014 — its closest relative in 387 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 84% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (20 January 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 8 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 148 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →38 had not appeared for 5 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈27M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,543 winners, 17% fewer than the 1.9k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,218,116 | £3.20 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 587,559 | £6.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 170,598 | £8.40 |
| Match 3 | 78,810 | £10.40 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 30,536 | £16.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 37,596 | £13.00 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,977 | £56.20 |
| Match 4 | 1,543 | £101 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 808 | £193 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 31 | £5,737 |
| Match 5 | 7 | £50,814 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | £1,067,104 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £11,247,000 |