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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£19,476,380
The crowdHeld 25% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 386 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 385 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 January 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 21 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 3% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 39 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 385 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (32, 46) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 7 November 2014 — its closest relative in 385 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 January 2015): 34 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 171 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →46 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈36M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,580 winners, 37% fewer than the 2.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,176,301 | £3.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 619,515 | £6.90 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 229,674 | £6.90 |
| Match 3 | 74,997 | £12.00 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 37,582 | £14.90 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 39,113 | £13.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,363 | £51.70 |
| Match 4 | 1,580 | £108 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 837 | £205 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 47 | £4,164 |
| Match 5 | 5 | £78,280 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | £587,098 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £19,476,380 |