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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£149,758,000
The crowdHeld 9% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 362 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 361 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 October 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 36 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 361 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 20, 42) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 8 March 2013 — its closest relative in 361 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (21 October 2014): 20 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 104 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →3 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈72M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 5,699 winners, 14% more than the 5.0k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 3,450,472 | £2.90 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,654,248 | £5.90 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 460,652 | £7.90 |
| Match 3 | 242,327 | £8.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 88,855 | £14.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 115,019 | £10.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 6,351 | £44.20 |
| Match 4 | 5,699 | £68.90 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 2,617 | £150 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 147 | £3,057 |
| Match 5 | 24 | £37,442 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 9 | £1,617,162 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £149,758,000 |