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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£11,770,500
The crowdHeld 3% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 353 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 352 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 September 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 352 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 13, 35) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 5 November 2013 — its closest relative in 352 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 81% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 September 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 103 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 12–13, 13–14. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →14 had not appeared for 46 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈24M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,404 winners, 17% fewer than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,035,453 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 553,710 | £5.10 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 156,328 | £6.70 |
| Match 3 | 69,045 | £8.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 30,940 | £12.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 37,449 | £9.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,051 | £39.60 |
| Match 4 | 1,404 | £81.00 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 819 | £139 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 36 | £3,612 |
| Match 5 | 2 | £0.00 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £260,042 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £11,770,500 |