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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£12,321,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 313 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 312 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 May 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 75% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 312 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (5, 19, 31) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 24 December 2013 — its closest relative in 312 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 78% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (2 May 2014): 31 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 116 — the 35th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →5 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈21M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 671 winners, 7% fewer than the 723 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 911,871 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 431,358 | £5.80 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 133,014 | £6.90 |
| Match 3 | 64,706 | £8.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 26,063 | £12.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 29,825 | £10.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,876 | £37.90 |
| Match 4 | 1,497 | £66.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 671 | £149 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 36 | £3,164 |
| Match 5 | 11 | £20,711 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | £227,820 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £12,321,000 |