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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£12,709,500
The crowdHeld 20% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 260 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 259 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 November 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 259 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 19, 29) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 21 May 2013 — its closest relative in 259 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 71% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 October 2013): 30 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 118 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 29–30. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →7 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈37M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 2,011 winners, 21% fewer than the 2.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 1,292,245 | £2.60 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 708,105 | £4.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 234,186 | £5.20 |
| Match 3 | 94,942 | £7.30 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 47,216 | £9.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 51,295 | £8.10 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3,343 | £28.20 |
| Match 4 | 2,011 | £65.80 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,112 | £119 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 73 | £2,072 |
| Match 5 | 14 | £21,607 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 6 | £151,248 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £12,709,500 |