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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£12,523,500
The crowdHeld 53% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 75 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 74 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 24 January 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 7 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 74 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (1, 6) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 6 January 2012 — its closest relative in 74 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (20 January 2012): 2 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 8 repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 65 — the 2th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →20 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈14M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 65,598 winners, 55% more than the 42k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 933,564 | £2.70 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 382,435 | £6.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 88,707 | £10.50 |
| Match 3 | 65,598 | £8.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 16,514 | £20.10 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 26,031 | £12.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,085 | £66.60 |
| Match 4 | 1,357 | £74.50 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 511 | £198 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 16 | £7,227 |
| Match 5 | 3 | £308,364 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | — |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £12,523,500 |