Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£28,991,612
The crowdHeld 31% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016draw 51 of 562 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/11 · May 2011 – Sep 2016 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 50 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 November 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 64% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 50 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (14, 23, 45) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 4 October 2011 — its closest relative in 50 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 21% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (28 October 2011): 20 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (35% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 148 — the 74th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 45–46. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →14 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 942,202 winners, 31% more than the 718k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 942,202 | £2.80 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 361,337 | £7.30 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 104,747 | £9.30 |
| Match 3 | 60,583 | £9.20 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 18,782 | £18.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 24,406 | £13.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,196 | £63.20 |
| Match 4 | 1,111 | £95.30 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 511 | £207 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 25 | £4,841 |
| Match 5 | 2 | — |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | £726,103 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £28,991,612 |