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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£23,090,988
The crowdHeld 36% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011draw 333 of 378 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 332 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 June 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 44% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 33 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 332 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (1, 31) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 14 May 2010 — its closest relative in 332 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 June 2010): 31 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (42% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 86 — the 9th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →28 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈30M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 2,320 winners, 84% more than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 0 | — |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,082,000 | £6.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 297,573 | £9.80 |
| Match 3 | 126,397 | £10.70 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 58,872 | £21.60 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 89,363 | £16.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 4,939 | £58.50 |
| Match 4 | 3,193 | £63.40 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 2,320 | £125 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 117 | £3,708 |
| Match 5 | 13 | £46,720 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 8 | £267,525 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | £23,090,988 |