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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£38,064,784
The crowdHeld 7% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011draw 324 of 378 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 323 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 April 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 32 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 323 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 8, 43) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 28 July 2006 — its closest relative in 323 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (16 April 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (42% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 107 — the 25th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 7–8. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →3 had not appeared for 66 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈42M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 1,319 winners, 24% fewer than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 0 | — |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 1,166,523 | £6.80 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 410,669 | £8.10 |
| Match 3 | 114,060 | £13.60 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 74,340 | £19.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 72,970 | £23.10 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 4,355 | £75.90 |
| Match 4 | 2,101 | £110 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,319 | £251 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 95 | £5,226 |
| Match 5 | 9 | £77,226 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £612,294 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £38,064,784 |