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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
EuroMillions · draw
ResultEuroMillions
Jackpot£39,585,640
The crowdHeld 8% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011draw 305 of 378 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
EuroMillions was a 5/50 + 2/9 · Feb 2004 – May 2011 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 304 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 December 2009 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 30 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 304 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (20, 41, 43) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 13 August 2004 — its closest relative in 304 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 77% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (4 December 2009): 44 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (42% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 194 — the 99th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 43–44. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →41 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 18% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈38M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 1,152 winners, 27% fewer than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 | 0 | — |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 909,644 | £8.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 370,911 | £9.00 |
| Match 3 | 87,474 | £17.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 59,410 | £24.60 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 57,352 | £29.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3,632 | £91.70 |
| Match 4 | 1,802 | £129 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,152 | £289 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 67 | £7,457 |
| Match 5 | 8 | £87,434 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | £616,919 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | £39,585,640 |