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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€21,000,000
The crowdHeld 25% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022draw 353 of 389 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 352 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 July 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 13% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 352 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (8, 20) and 2 of 2 stars with the draw of 11 June 2021 — its closest relative in 352 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (2 July 2021): 31 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (38% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 88 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →15 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 541,485 winners, 25% more than the 432k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 541,485 | €7.80 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 141,628 | €12.30 |
| Match 3 | 62,788 | €15.30 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 26,974 | €25.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 37,454 | €17.90 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,848 | €72.60 |
| Match 4 | 1,403 | €112 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 805 | €250 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 38 | €5,886 |
| Match 5 | 4 | €167,740 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 7 | €271,578 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | €21,000,000 |