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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€80,380,823
The crowdHeld 4% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022draw 346 of 389 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 345 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 89% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 35 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 345 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 12, 15) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 29 September 2017 — its closest relative in 345 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 81% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 May 2021): 15 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (38% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 101 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →39 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈39M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls — 4,405 winners, 8% more than the 4.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 902,278 | €7.60 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 307,878 | €9.10 |
| Match 3 | 109,633 | €14.10 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 61,247 | €18.20 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 63,807 | €16.90 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 4,405 | €49.10 |
| Match 4 | 2,436 | €104 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,472 | €220 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 104 | €3,467 |
| Match 5 | 8 | €135,196 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 6 | €510,741 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | €80,380,823 |