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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€44,071,230
The crowdHeld 10% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022draw 325 of 389 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 324 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 December 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 73 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 97% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 32 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 324 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 19, 42) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 3 May 2019 — its closest relative in 324 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 December 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (38% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 104 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →10 had not appeared for 58 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈23M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 2,326 winners, 55% more than the 1.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 595,596 | €8.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 176,960 | €11.00 |
| Match 3 | 92,893 | €11.50 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 35,605 | €21.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 44,624 | €16.70 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,674 | €56.00 |
| Match 4 | 2,326 | €75.10 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,082 | €208 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 62 | €4,027 |
| Match 5 | 7 | €107,009 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 6 | €353,724 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | €44,071,230 |