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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€20,981,202
The crowdHeld 24% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022draw 312 of 389 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 311 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 September 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 311 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 7, 9) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 15 June 2018 — its closest relative in 311 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 77% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (18 September 2020): 7 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (38% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 92 — the 13th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →1 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈17M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 74,725 winners, 49% more than the 50k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 507,179 | €8.30 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 134,703 | €12.80 |
| Match 3 | 74,725 | €12.80 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 26,494 | €26.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 37,941 | €17.60 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,897 | €70.40 |
| Match 4 | 1,648 | €94.60 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 836 | €240 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 38 | €5,862 |
| Match 5 | 3 | €222,770 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 2 | €946,773 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | €20,981,202 |