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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€21,752,127
The crowdHeld 13% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022draw 310 of 389 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 309 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 September 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 63 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 81% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 31 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 309 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 24, 45) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 6 July 2018 — its closest relative in 309 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 77% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (4 September 2020): 5 carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (38% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 119 — the 39th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →45 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈19M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 64,724 winners, 19% more than the 54k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 503,683 | €8.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 145,915 | €12.30 |
| Match 3 | 64,724 | €15.30 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 26,570 | €26.90 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 33,274 | €20.80 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 2,079 | €66.60 |
| Match 4 | 1,292 | €125 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 778 | €267 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 32 | €7,218 |
| Match 5 | 3 | €230,968 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | €1,266,197 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1 | €21,752,127 |