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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€10,657,088
The crowdHeld 22% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022draw 293 of 389 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 292 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 May 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 44 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 292 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (34, 49) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 10 January 2020 — its closest relative in 292 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 May 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 8 repeated (38% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 160 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →27 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 9% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈17M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 63,197 winners, 31% more than the 48k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 483,058 | €8.70 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 130,000 | €13.20 |
| Match 3 | 63,197 | €15.00 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 24,467 | €27.90 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 32,755 | €20.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,635 | €81.00 |
| Match 4 | 1,290 | €120 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 696 | €286 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 31 | €7,123 |
| Match 5 | 3 | €220,827 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 3 | €625,675 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | €10,657,088 |