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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€79,773,153
The crowdHeld 18% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022draw 189 of 389 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 188 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 May 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 19 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 188 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 23, 41) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 5 May 2017 — its closest relative in 188 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 59% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (11 May 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (38% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 120 — the 40th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →11 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈36M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 1,831 winners, 23% fewer than the 2.4k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 705,949 | €8.00 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 282,921 | €8.20 |
| Match 3 | 83,385 | €15.30 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 53,615 | €17.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 49,864 | €17.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 3,715 | €48.00 |
| Match 4 | 1,831 | €114 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,091 | €245 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 60 | €4,959 |
| Match 5 | 7 | €127,527 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | €632,322 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | €79,773,153 |