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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€40,504,104
The crowdHeld 25% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022draw 128 of 389 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 127 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 March 2017 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 85% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 13 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 127 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 16, 25) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 3 March 2017 — its closest relative in 127 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 46% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (10 March 2017): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 7, 8 repeated (38% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 127 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →38 had not appeared for 31 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈17M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 plus Bonus Ball — 1,070 winners, 71% more than the 626 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 493,849 | €7.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 129,491 | €11.30 |
| Match 3 | 56,660 | €14.30 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 24,503 | €23.80 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 37,192 | €15.20 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,627 | €69.50 |
| Match 4 | 1,462 | €90.20 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 1,070 | €159 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 28 | €6,732 |
| Match 5 | 6 | €94,247 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 9 | €178,022 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | €40,504,104 |