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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€10,000,000
The crowdHeld 10% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022draw 54 of 389 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 53 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 October 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 68 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 90% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 53 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (11, 19, 46) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 31 July 2015 — its closest relative in 53 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 22% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (9 October 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 3, 9 repeated (38% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 156 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →38 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 12% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 18,775 winners, 10% fewer than the 21k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 269,394 | €8.40 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 98,478 | €9.40 |
| Match 3 | 33,518 | €15.30 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 18,031 | €20.50 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 18,775 | €19.10 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,312 | €54.70 |
| Match 4 | 819 | €102 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 461 | €234 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 47 | €2,549 |
| Match 5 | 3 | €119,803 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | €1,018,326 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | €10,000,000 |