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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€10,000,000
The crowdHeld 14% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022draw 49 of 389 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/10 · Oct 2014 – Mar 2022 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 48 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 September 2015 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 70% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 48 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (7, 27) and 0 of 2 stars with the draw of 14 August 2015 — its closest relative in 48 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (4 September 2015): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 7 repeated (38% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 117 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →31 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 676 winners, 36% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 328,167 | €6.90 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 125,366 | €7.40 |
| Match 3 | 32,156 | €15.30 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 25,802 | €15.30 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 22,658 | €15.30 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 1,650 | €43.30 |
| Match 4 | 676 | €123 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 516 | €208 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 35 | €3,406 |
| Match 5 | 3 | €119,211 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 4 | €253,324 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | €10,000,000 |