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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Eurojackpot · draw
ResultEurojackpot
Jackpot€14,000,000
The crowdHeld 9% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014draw 27 of 133 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:38 UTC.
Eurojackpot was a 5/50 + 2/8 · Mar 2012 – Oct 2014 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 26 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 September 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 32% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 26 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 2 of 5 numbers (18, 44) and 1 of 2 stars with the draw of 18 May 2012 — its closest relative in 26 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (14 September 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 42% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (46% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 181 — the 96th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 128. No two numbers side by side. 35% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →29 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 10 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 13% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.7M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls — 10,014 winners, 27% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 149,762 | €9.20 |
| Match 1 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 71,735 | €10.10 |
| Match 3 | 13,236 | €16.40 |
| Match 2 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 10,014 | €24.70 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 12,625 | €16.50 |
| Match 3 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 810 | €63.40 |
| Match 4 | 261 | €139 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 197 | €291 |
| Match 4 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 19 | €3,817 |
| Match 5 | 0 | €0.00 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 1 | €885,960 |
| Match 5 plus 2 Bonus Balls | 0 | €14,000,000 |