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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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La Primitiva · draw

Saturday, 20 January 2024

ResultLa Primitiva

Single source
  1. 5
  2. 8
  3. 10
  4. 26
  5. 42
  6. 43
  7. 47

Jackpot€16,300,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 1/49 · since Jan 2013draw 1,216 of 1,643 under them

← 2024-01-18All recent draws2024-01-22 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed5 8 10 26 42 43 + 4729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 January 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

72oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 72 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 93% of every possible ticket.

  • sum32th
  • odd20th
  • low48th
  • widest gap58th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread57th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 149 of each

5142times
8146times
10143times
26149times
42

Prize breakdown · 2024-01-20

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.0Mto 1.5M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 8lines took a prize
  • 60 winnerschance said 0.87

Where the money went

  • 414%€548.5K
  • 340%€1.6M
  • R31%€1.3M
  • 2 other tiers15%€582.8K
Tier1101001k10k100k1M10MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 60≈ 0.87 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

144times
43160times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,215 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (5, 10, 26) with the draw of 16 November 2023 — its closest relative in 1,215 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 January 2024): 43 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

134

The numbers add up to 134 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 42–43. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 35% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
no winners
  • 5+C2≈ 5.2 by chance€102,852
  • 5183≈ 219 by chance€2,061
  • 410,678≈ 12k by chance€51.37
  • 3199,425≈ 214k by chance€8.00
  • R1,253,852€1.00
  • 6+R0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 10,678 winners, 9% fewer than the 12k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    6+R0€0.00
    60€0.00
    5+C2€102,852
    5183€2,061
    410,678€51.37
    3199,425€8.00
    R1,253,852€1.00