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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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La Primitiva · draw

Saturday, 25 September 2021

ResultLa Primitiva

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 14
  3. 23
  4. 38
  5. 42
  6. 48
  7. 13

Jackpot€26,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 1/49 · since Jan 2013draw 894 of 1,643 under them

← 2021-09-23All recent draws2021-09-30 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 14 23 38 42 48 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 September 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

65oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 65 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 81% of every possible ticket.

  • sum77th
  • odd5th
  • low48th
  • widest gap50th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread57th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 109 of each

10106times
14105times
23106times
38115times
42

Prize breakdown · 2021-09-25

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.7Mto 199k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.83

Where the money went

  • 634%€1.6M
  • 418%€827.0K
  • 332%€1.5M
  • 2 other tiers16%€748.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.83 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

108times
4896times

Every number was expected about that many times after 893 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (10, 23, 42, 48) with the draw of 15 October 2020 — its closest relative in 893 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 59% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (23 September 2021): 23, 42 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

175

The numbers add up to 175 — the 77th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 54% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,575,279
  • 5+C4≈ 5.0 by chance€59,073
  • 5143≈ 208 by chance€3,580
  • 49,592≈ 11k by chance€86.22
  • 3189,452≈ 204k by chance€8.00
  • R0€1.00
  • 6+R0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 9,592 winners, 14% fewer than the 11k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    6+R0€0.00
    61€1,575,279
    5+C4€59,073
    5143€3,580
    49,592€86.22
    3189,452€8.00
    R0€1.00