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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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La Primitiva · draw

Saturday, 15 May 2021

ResultLa Primitiva

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 8
  3. 19
  4. 20
  5. 44
  6. 45
  7. 17

Jackpot€4,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 1/49 · since Jan 2013draw 856 of 1,644 under them

← 2021-05-13All recent draws2021-05-20 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 8 19 20 44 45 + 1729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 May 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

48oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 48 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.

  • sum37th
  • odd48th
  • low77th
  • widest gap93th
  • neighbours94th
  • spread78th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 105 of each

3116times
896times
19102times
2095times
44

Prize breakdown · 2021-05-15

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.5Mto 209k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.86

Where the money went

  • 632%€1.4M
  • 417%€759.4K
  • 335%€1.6M
  • 2 other tiers15%€687.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.86 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

98times
45113times

Every number was expected about that many times after 855 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (8, 19, 20) with the draw of 17 September 2020 — its closest relative in 855 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (13 May 2021): 3 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

139

The numbers add up to 139 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 19–20, 44–45. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

45 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 35% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,446,521
  • 5+C4≈ 5.2 by chance€54,245
  • 5213≈ 218 by chance€2,207
  • 410,562≈ 12k by chance€71.90
  • 3198,539≈ 213k by chance€8.00
  • R0€1.00
  • 6+R0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 10,562 winners, 10% fewer than the 12k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    6+R0€0.00
    61€1,446,521
    5+C4€54,245
    5213€2,207
    410,562€71.90
    3198,539€8.00
    R0€1.00