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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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La Primitiva · draw

Thursday, 25 February 2021

ResultLa Primitiva

Single source
  1. 13
  2. 25
  3. 30
  4. 33
  5. 36
  6. 43
  7. 7

Jackpot€43,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 1/49 · since Jan 2013draw 833 of 1,643 under them

← 2021-02-20All recent draws2021-02-27 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 25 30 33 36 43 + 729 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 February 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum82th
  • odd77th
  • low20th
  • widest gap26th
  • neighbours25th
  • spread22th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 102 of each

1399times
2584times
30112times
3386times
36

Prize breakdown · 2021-02-25

  • Lines in play≈ 16Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€5.3Mto 270k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 1.1

Where the money went

  • 631%€1.6M
  • 416%€863.3K
  • 338%€2.0M
  • 2 other tiers15%€781.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 1.1 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

117times
43107times

Every number was expected about that many times after 832 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (13, 33, 36) with the draw of 30 January 2021 — its closest relative in 832 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 February 2021): 43 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

180

The numbers add up to 180 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.4× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 64% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,644,438
  • 5+C9≈ 6.7 by chance€27,407
  • 5201≈ 280 by chance€2,659
  • 414,099≈ 15k by chance€61.23
  • 3255,529≈ 275k by chance€8.00
  • R0€1.00
  • 6+R0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 255,529 winners, 7% fewer than the 275k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    6+R0€0.00
    61€1,644,438
    5+C9€27,407
    5201€2,659
    414,099€61.23
    3255,529€8.00
    R0€1.00