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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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La Primitiva · draw

Saturday, 16 January 2021

ResultLa Primitiva

Single source
  1. 1
  2. 28
  3. 30
  4. 34
  5. 48
  6. 49
  7. 42

Jackpot€28,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 1/49 · since Jan 2013draw 822 of 1,643 under them

← 2021-01-14All recent draws2021-01-21 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 28 30 34 48 49 + 4229 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

23oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 23 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 4% of every possible ticket.

  • sum89th
  • odd20th
  • low5th
  • widest gap97th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread99th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 101 of each

1106times
28110times
30110times
34100times
48

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-16

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.7Mto 205k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 62 winnerschance said 0.85

Where the money went

  • 633%€1.6M
  • 418%€823.8K
  • 333%€1.6M
  • 2 other tiers16%€745.3K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1MPrize each
  1. 62≈ 0.85 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

87times
49112times

Every number was expected about that many times after 821 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 34, 49) with the draw of 29 October 2020 — its closest relative in 821 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 January 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

190

The numbers add up to 190 — the 88th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 48–49. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

34 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 54% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€784,563
  • 5+C6≈ 5.1 by chance€39,228
  • 5204≈ 214 by chance€2,500
  • 410,107≈ 11k by chance€81.51
  • 3194,741≈ 209k by chance€8.00
  • R0€1.00
  • 6+R0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 10,107 winners, 12% fewer than the 11k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    6+R0€0.00
    62€784,563
    5+C6€39,228
    5204€2,500
    410,107€81.51
    3194,741€8.00
    R0€1.00