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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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La Primitiva · draw

Saturday, 2 January 2021

ResultLa Primitiva

Single source
  1. 6
  2. 13
  3. 19
  4. 37
  5. 38
  6. 43
  7. 15

Jackpot€25,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 1/49 · since Jan 2013draw 818 of 1,643 under them

← 2020-12-31All recent draws2021-01-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 13 19 37 38 43 + 1529 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 January 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

74oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 74 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 95% of every possible ticket.

  • sum57th
  • odd77th
  • low48th
  • widest gap71th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread52th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 100 of each

690times
1396times
1996times
37110times
38

Prize breakdown · 2021-01-02

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€4.5Mto 212k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 57lines took a prize
  • 61 winnerchance said 0.87

Where the money went

  • 632%€1.4M
  • 417%€756.8K
  • 336%€1.6M
  • 2 other tiers15%€684.7K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. 61≈ 0.87 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

110times
43104times

Every number was expected about that many times after 817 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (13, 19, 38) with the draw of 13 June 2020 — its closest relative in 817 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 December 2020): 38 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

156

The numbers add up to 156 — the 56th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 37–38. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

37 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 63% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€1,441,577
  • 5+C8≈ 5.2 by chance€27,030
  • 5204≈ 219 by chance€2,297
  • 411,894≈ 12k by chance€63.63
  • 3199,784≈ 215k by chance€8.00
  • R0€1.00
  • 6+R0no winners
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 199,784 winners, 7% fewer than the 215k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    6+R0€0.00
    61€1,441,577
    5+C8€27,030
    5204€2,297
    411,894€63.63
    3199,784€8.00
    R0€1.00