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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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La Primitiva · draw

Thursday, 3 January 2019

ResultLa Primitiva

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 13
  3. 23
  4. 40
  5. 41
  6. 49
  7. 16

Jackpot€80,000,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules6/49 + 1/49 · since Jan 2013draw 627 of 1,643 under them

← 2018-12-29All recent draws2019-01-05 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:37 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 13 23 40 41 49 + 1629 Aug 2026, 09:26 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 January 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

55oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 58% of every possible ticket.

  • sum75th
  • odd94th
  • low48th
  • widest gap65th
  • neighbours70th
  • spread78th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 77 of each

779times
1366times
2376times
4084times
41

Prize breakdown · 2019-01-03

  • Lines in play≈ 18Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out€84.3Mto 305k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 58lines took a prize
  • 62 winnerschance said 1.3

Where the money went

  • 62.0%€1.7M
  • 32.7%€2.3M
  • 6+R93%€78.6M
  • 3 other tiers2.0%€1.7M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. 62≈ 1.3 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

75times
4988times

Every number was expected about that many times after 626 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 6 numbers (7, 40, 41, 49) with the draw of 14 June 2018 — its closest relative in 626 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 46% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 December 2018): 7 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

173

The numbers add up to 173 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 40–41. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

13 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 58% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
€862,763
  • 5+C8≈ 7.5 by chance€32,354
  • 5339≈ 317 by chance€1,654
  • 416,283≈ 17k by chance€55.63
  • 3288,488≈ 310k by chance€8.00
  • 6+R1€78,585,996
  • R0€1.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 — 288,488 winners, 7% fewer than the 310k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    6+R1€78,585,996
    62€862,763
    5+C8€32,354
    5339€1,654
    416,283€55.63
    3288,488€8.00
    R0€1.00